Quick look at wind over Pacific (F1 -> Seattle ?)

A quick look at Nullschool wind patterns, particularly for jet stream (250 hPa and up) levels, to see if my #1 “suspected spewing source” is even a reasonably possible source for the most recent not-natural-looking-whatsoever radioactivity upticks and apparent disturbances.

So, if looking again at the sudden shift in Seattle (Aug. 11, 2017) US Air Force Dispatched To Monitor Radioactive Cloud Over Seattle? (expanded upon with many more radnet graphs from across the US in (Aug 12, 2017) Fallout Conditions already akin to distant Nuclear War (US EPA Radnet, 4 months, various)).

The Total Gamma for the past 4 months:


Looking at specific gamma energy levels for the past month:

cewolf;jsessionid=B92DCD6F409ECA70F6034758541965E1 copy

Gamma Energy Range 2 & 3 seem most pronounced, zoomed in some more:

cewolf;jsessionid=B92DCD6F409ECA70F6034758541965E1-1 copy

And some more, to clearly see when the data gap occurred (evening of Aug 1th till mid-Aug. 2nd) and the upward shift shortly after (from mid- Aug. 3rd onward):

cewolf;jsessionid=B92DCD6F409ECA70F6034758541965E1-2 copy

So…  Because it takes time for an air mass to move across the Pacific, and the patterns move around (sometimes quite a bit), I’ll first have a look at August 1st,  @ https://earth.nullschool.net/#2017/08/01/0900Z/wind/isobaric/250hPa/orthographic=-210.47,59.97,546/loc=-122.496,48.365  Screenshot with annotations added:

https-:earth.nullschool.net:#2017:08:01:0900Z:wind:isobaric:250hPa:orthographic=-210.47,59.97,546:loc=-122.496,48.365 copy.jpg

When browsing through the days, that jet stream fan-out would also affect that Juneau, Alaska.  It should then also show something.  It does, EPA-style, with mostly data gaps:


When you have a look at the next day, Aug 2, at noon ( @ https://earth.nullschool.net/#2017/08/02/1200Z/wind/isobaric/250hPa/orthographic=-210.47,59.97,546/loc=-122.496,48.365 ), you see how the jet stream’s moving more north over Japan, and than there’s a significant jet stream slow zone developing exactly over the Pacific Northwest (which allows for particles higher up to fall down to lower levels):

https-:earth.nullschool.net:#2017:08:02:1200Z:wind:isobaric:250hPa:orthographic=-210.47,59.97,546:loc=-122.496,48.365 copy.jpg

No way to tell where what exactly is coming from, but the possibility that radioactive stuff is blowing in from Northern Japan (or beyond) is clearly quite possible.

Sources listed @ https://allegedlyapparent.wordpress.com/radioactivity/current-radiation-levels-monitors/

It seems like it’s been building for the past few years, but this particular shift reminds me of the shift seen in Hawaii this spring (see MAY 28, 2017) US Turns Off Radiation Monitors; Baseline Shift @ Hawaii & other Radnet graphs (US EPA Radnet, end May 2017), which was roughly the beginning (combined with the crazy whiff of traces in Finland (MAY 20, 2017) BREAKING: Ruthenium-103, Cobalt-60, Niobium-95 & Cesium-134 Validated Detections in Finland, Cesium-137 Uptick, Artificial BETA upticks in The Netherlands and Italy, as yet another Mystery Radiological Disturbance rolls across Europe… (EURDEP, MAY 2017) of what are now very widespread disturbances all across the hemisphere, likely the planet.

Interesting in and of itself that none of the mainstream nor even the so-called alternative outlets touch on these observations.  The data is just as available to actual journalists with a lot more resources than some guy with a laptop and wifi on the edge of a remote Colorado wilderness…  (The troll den & news aggregator ENEnews did mention a few spikes, but in isolation ánd in an attempt to link them to a tunnel collapse at Hanford, which, as I’ve pointed out, doesn’t hold up when you look at a lot more monitors – See (May 24, 2017) Mid-May 2017 Radiation Spikes had Nothing to do with Hanford.  There were larger spikes afterwards, and they remained silent on those.  Can’t say for sure if it was, but it smelled like a rather well-timed diversion story to me.

Anyhow.  “For what it’s worth, if anything…. ”  I suppose “the radiation scene” has hereby been ‘documented’ some more again.

I’ll leave it at that.

—— ——- —–

Okay, won’t leave it at that.  The below has been ADDED on August 19, 2017

—— ——- —–

A kind observer in the beautiful forests of Cascadia sent me the following message:

“[…] Just wanted to say that your radiation readings on West Coast were related to the 160+ forest fires blowing in from British Columbia… I suspect volatilized fallout from Fukushima but probably mostly from other as yet undisclosed accidents / events / open air testing of long ago.   Our local weather guru actually covered similar data points as yours: http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2017/08/wildfire-smoke-brought-enhanced.html   […]”

I consider that a very good point.  I had not factored in the smoke, which blew into the region around exactly the same time.  Now here’s where the uncertainty lies:  correlation does not mean causation.   The Cliff Mass Weather and Climate Blog  brought up one extra piece of data: spiking OZONE concentrations, and also linked it to the forest fire smoke:

“Fires produce nitrogen oxides and hydrocarbons that can combine to produce ozone. . According to my UW Bothell colleague (and a specialist in NW atmospheric chemistry)  Dan Jaffe, the ozone levels were stunning. […]  […] According to Dr. Jaffe, we have not seen O3 like this in decades. […]”

Now, the forests of Oregon, BC, Northern California, Idaho and Washington have major forest fires almost every year.  So why would the ozone concentration be so much higher this time?  Same with the radiation monitors: why don’t they show such upticks every year downwind from a forest fire?  Are there hot spots of concentrated radioactive fallout in some BC forests that are being re-suspended?  Definitely a possibility worth looking into…

A look at the Puget Sound Clean Air Agency (http://airgraphing.pscleanair.org/ ), graphing Seattle data for tiny particles (smoke) and for Ozone, for the past month:

NevronChart copy.jpg

July 18 – August 18, 2017: Ozone levels returned to normal when the smoke cleared.

And have radiation levels returned to normal around August 12th as well?

cewolf;jsessionid=ADA263828C5BEC66232A6B46C00DBC67 copy

July 31 – August 18, 2017: Radiation levels have NOT yet returned to normal since the smoke cleared !

No.  Clearly they have not:  the pre-data-gap peak values are still the post-spike bottom values.  (I added the black lines to make that easier to see).

Could the ozone be linked to the presumed fallout?

Both Ozone and the bulk of radioactive fallout travel in the upper troposphere (much higher up, where Ozone, as well most of Be-7 & Na-22 are created), and thus when conditions are such that fallout descends, such as the kind of jet stream slow-down zone I pointed out at at the top of this blogpost, both fallout deposition ánd ozone concentration at ground level fluctuate together.

A paper on this strong correlation from 1967 @  https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/mripapers1950/18/4/18_311/_pdf   from which this graph:

https-:www.jstage.jst.go.jp:article:mripapers1950:18:4:18_311:_pdf__Fig10_ copy


Thanks to the valid point raised, my conclusion is now a little bit more nuanced:

  • The Ozone concentration was likely so high because of two converging factors: chemical reactions within the smoke was the main factor, and delivery from the upper atmosphere may have contributed to the initial highest spikes.  Perhaps because those two generally don’t coincide, the peak ozone levels were unusually high.
  • The rise in Radioactivity levels may have had nothing to do with the smoke, although during the thickest of smoke days it may have contributed some to the higher spikes; the bulk of the raised radiation levels was most likely primarily due to fallout delivery by jet stream, unrelated to the forest fires.

Current air quality (particulate & Ozone) can be viewed @ https://airnow.gov/

AUg19_2017_airQuality copy

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5 Responses to Quick look at wind over Pacific (F1 -> Seattle ?)

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