Peculiar Radiation Spikes in Europe (@early March 2016) Suggest “Mystery Radiological Emergency” is ONGOING + Largest Cesium-137 detection since 1986 @ Helsinki, Finland (!)

Colorado Rocky Mountains – Very windy – Monday, March 7, 2016

Added-in after posting: 

!-> Note:  Additional observations have been added to the next post, ““Man have wasted away in front of it, even gone mad…”

[March 7, 2016 @ 17:30 Mountain Time]:  See also additions at the end and comments.  I had no idea when I wrote this post that the spikes this week coincided with the most extreme Cesium-137 detection SINCE CHERNOBYL for a monitoring location in Helsinki, Finland this week:

http-:www.finlandtimes.fi:health:2016:03:08:25649:Huge-radioactive-cesium-detected-in-Helsinki

It adds to the question what is causing the below examples of widespread radiation upticks.   Question is also: what else is in this radioactive cloud?  Usually there’s more in it, and some of the other traces can give hints about its origins. [See also next post!]

DISCLAIMER:  Much of the data I display has not been validated by the authorities that supplied the data.  I’m a volunteer amateur, not an official expert.  Check with the experts for a possibly different viewpoint.   Read my full DISCLAIMER.

(Via my Online Radiation Monitors)   Couple quick observations…:

Record-High Spike on the North-Western coast of Turkey, 24-hour data:

IstanbulSile_coastBlackSea_spike_March6_2016.gif

  • This Istanbul Sile, Turkey spike in a longer time period for context, 3-month data:

IstanbulSile_coastBlackSea_3months_preMarch7_2016.gif

–> I looked back at the data for the preceding 1 year and this monitor rarely detects above 0.080 µSv/hr, and remained below 0.120 µSv/hr the entire preceding year, making the spikes highly unusual, and the data gaps suspect.  The data gaps in January occurred around the same time as upticks in Cesium-137 in Finland, and a detection of Ruthenium-103 in Norway.  Documentation of those and much more, see my chronological Nuclear Blog Post Archive.

  • Record-High Spike at Moussala 1, Bulgaria at the very end of February, followed by data gaps (likely hiding even higher spikes), and more highly unusual spiking:

MOUSSALA.1_Bulgaria_March7_2016_3months

–> A look back at the past year shows smaller spikes and shorter data gaps in October 2015, but nothing like what just occured this past week.

  • A spike a Kicevo, Macedonia did not break records, but a pattern of disturbances, sprikled with spikes and data gaps is also apparent here:

Kicevo_Macedonia_3months_PreMarch7_2016

–> In the preceding year a data gap can also be found in Nov. 2015, and higher spikes than those shown here occurred in August and September 2015 at this location.

  • The SE0063 monitor at HALLANDSVADERO, Sweden shows an extremely unusual high spike in the past 24 hours.  I wonder which particular gamma energies this monitor picks up, as it has been rather “data-gapped” in recent months.  If you look at the data for just 24 hours, you can see 2 data points showing the onramp of the spike, meaning the spike isn’t just an isolated “glitch dot”:

HallandsvaderoSverige_3months_preMarch7_2016

–> this monitor had a massive data gap from mid-March till July 2015, but had a normal-looking record before these past 3 months, with the occasional spike (all under 0.2 µSv/hr), and rare short data gaps.  I didn’t look at the entire record beyond 2015, but this spike might be a record as well.

Maybe I should have pointed this out right away:  I was just looking at “Gamma-T, Standard Deviation, past 24 hours” on EURDEP’s Public “Advanced Map, picking some darker-colored monitors:

StandardDeviation_EURDEP_Gamma_24hours_March7_2016_1650UTC.gif

  • Oh, yes: Look, how odd: a light green dot at Lillo 1, Belgium… just outside the microcracked Doel reactors (near Antwerp).  I guess I could have headlined “Record Radiation Spike near Antwerp, Belgium !”, but my country of origin is só asleep at the nuclear wheel that I would expect that to have no effect anyhow.   In the best case, they’ll get an expert on TV to dismiss it by comparing the shown dose rate to what you can measure near a banana or something.   (See also my posts, K-40 versus Cs-137, and The Dose Deception.)  But anyhow, given how unusual it is to see ANYTHING unusual on the Belgian monitoring network (they got their ‘calibration’ down, I suppose…), this seems noteworthy:

Lillo1_Belgium_3months_preMarch7_2016

Alright… my little bit of time to kill has been killed…

  • That radioisotope-specific monitor @ Nicosia, Cyprus… not sure how it does its measuring, or if the y-axis is indicated incorrectly, but the data of this past month does suggest ‘something’ containing both Cs-137 and I-131 did cause an irregularity this past week:

icosia_Cs137_I131_March7_2016_1month.gif

There’s obviously a lot more to look at.  If you do so and find unusual detections, leave a comment.  I have to leave it at this for today.

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Now repeat after the experts:  “Nothing happened.  And besides, ionizing radiation is as harmless as eating a banana.”

— — — — — — —   — — —  — — —   — — — — — — —

Until I feel so compelled again…

— — — — — — —   — — —  — — —   — — — — — — —

Disclaimer

— — — — — — —   — — —  — — —   — — — — — — —

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ADDITIONS

  • ADDED after posting (March 7, 2016 @ 16:30 Mountain Time in Colorado):

There have been some reports of unusually high Cesium-137 detections in Helsinki, Finland (see also comments, and Twitter), but I have yet to see this confirmed.  Anyone know the source of this allegation, please leave a comment.

https-:twitter.com:DoctorNoFI:status:706884056621907968

DATA:  I just updated my page for Finland (Suomi), so you can easily check on STUK’s data yourself:  Nuclear (=tab in the top banner, with a drop-down menu)–> Online Radiation Monitors –> Finland

Screenshot of the latest radioisotope-specific data shows an unsual delay in the Cs-137 data:

http-:www.stuk.fi:web:en:_screenshotMarch7_2016

Via EURDEP, the data delay is currently about 3 days for Cs-137 (here shown together with Be-7):

3dayDataDelayFinland_Helsinki_Cs137_Be7_1month dataPreMarch7_2016

  •  ADDED after posting (March 7, 2016 @ 16:55 Mountain Time in Colorado):

SOLAR FLARE.   It wouldn’t explain alleged anthropogenic radioisotope upticks, and the massive Cs-137 uptick in Helsinki, Finland is surely a strike against this hypothesis, but it is possible that certain monitors are calibrated to energy levels that correspond with gamma bursts from the sun, and thus reacted to the solar flare that hit Earth today.  However, during the many other similar solar flares, these monitors didn’t budge, so…  perhaps not a factor, but I thought I’d bring it up anyhow:

Data via http://www.solarham.net/

http-:www.solarham.net:planetk.htm._March7_2016

Also, this does not explain the disturbances that have been going on for many months, with record-breaking spikes, odd radioisotope detections that have nothing whatsoever to do with solar flares (and éverything with nuclear accidents, like the Ru-103 detection in Norway the other month…) and unusually long data gaps all over the place.  For some documentation of that, see my Nuclear Blog Post Archive.

Any clues in the wind?   (Via METEO -> Nullschool)

http-:earth.nullschool.net:#2016:03:07:1500Z:wind:isobaric:250hPa:orthographic=-59.24,91.97,273.gif

IF the radioactive cloud came from afar, the detections in both Northern and Southern Europe would have been part of the jet stream, that fanned-out just south of Iceland.  I’ve dne this so many times and often arrived directly over Fukushima.  Not this time.  The zone between which the radioactive cloud most likely moved (IF it came from afar, that is), past mostly over Canada, then the US west coast (there would need to be spikes or data gaps on Radnet in some of those areas for this hypothesis to hold, as there is a significant jet stream slow-down there too), and if it came from even further… North Korea, China and Russia, or some reactor in Eastern Europe  would be among the more likely origins…  Clues welcome in comments.

MY CONCLUSION REMAINS:   Something’s up.  And it’s been up for a half year or more by now. ( Again, see my Nuclear Blog Post Archive.)   The data gaps especially hint of a recent nuclear accident that has been covered up, but when and where exactly it took place, and how severe it was, remains a mystery.  We may be dealing here with fallout from one accident compounding fallout from others, making it increasingly difficult to figure out the latest cover-up (without the kinds of specialized equipment and software the CTBTO, for instance, has access to…).

Last Updated: March 7, 2016 @ 11:11 pm Mountain Time (Colorado)
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26 Responses to Peculiar Radiation Spikes in Europe (@early March 2016) Suggest “Mystery Radiological Emergency” is ONGOING + Largest Cesium-137 detection since 1986 @ Helsinki, Finland (!)

  1. theret stephanie says:

    Dear Michael,

    These data measurements are very interesting. Today STUK gives informations about significant cs137 activity measured in Helsinki between March 3 and March 4. The activity concentration reaches 4mBq per m3, this is the highest value since Tchernobyl accident. Perhaps do you have other measurements in Finland or in Sweden? Meteorological conditions show that the plume could go to the north of finland and north of Sweden.

    Best regards.

  2. MVB says:

    A Swedish site turned my post into this: http://cornucopia.cornubot.se/2016/03/radioaktivt-utslapp-runt-svarta-havet.html , where they claim the first detection to have been in Bulgaria… (Um… That was a tiny sampling I did there; I wouldn’t per se conclude anything about where this came from that. Wind dispersion can get darn complex)

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  4. asdasd says:

    Because only CS-137 was detected in Helsinki it seems nuclear power and nuclear weapons can be excluded. Based on wind directions Ukraine with ongoing battles and lacking security could be source.
    2015: “The recent massive explosion at a state factory of chemical products in Donetsk may result in a radiation leak from a radioactive waste storage site located near the plant”
    http://www.unian.info/society/1091531-lysenko-warns-of-possible-radiation-leak-due-to-explosion-at-chemical-products-factory-in-donetsk.html
    http://en.interfax.com.ua/news/general/273561.html

    • asdasd says:

      Correction, source of Helsinki cesium leak was found to be in same building as measuring equipment. Cesium was not detected elsewhere.

      • MVB says:

        Interesting. ;-)

        Got a link with that alleged discovery?

        • asdasd says:

          http://www.hs.fi/kotimaa/a1457491347837 in Finnish.
          We believe source of emission is inside building, but we want to be sure about that.
          Stuk continues measuring cesium in building and near nearby
          Currently isolated is buildings garage and cellar, because cesium was located there.

        • asdasd says:

          Official info: http://www.stuk.fi/-/tiloja-palautetaan-takaisin-kayttoon-ja-selvitystyo-jatkuu
          “Cesium-137 was located yesterday evening (8.3.) at buildings garage and cellar.”
          “As precaution measurements of 10 nearby buildings are being taken”

        • MVB says:

          Thank you.

          Added to my next post @ https://allegedlyapparent.wordpress.com/2016/03/09/man-have-wasted-away-in-front-of-it-even-gone-mad/

          Perhaps they truly did figure it out, but it remains odd that they would say,

          “Keskiviikkoiltapäivällä Stuk tiedotti, että cesiumpäästön alkuperän tutkinta jatkuu, ja että cesiumhavainnot todennäköisesti liittyvät radioaktiivisten pienjätteiden käsittelyyn. Ikäheimosen mukaan mittaaminen vie aikaa, koska pitoisuudet ovat niin pieniä.

          Se tiedetään, että säteily ei ole peräisin Stukin omista lähteistä.”

          If Google translates this correctly, that would mean,

          “Wednesday afternoon, Stuk announced that they will continue investigating the origin of the release of cesium, and that of cesium findings are probably related to handling small amounts of radioactive waste. […] It is known that radiation does not originate from STUK own sources.”

          If it truly did not come from STUK sources, yet may have come from the STUK building… and the investigation continues…? What does that mean? Why would they continue investigating if they found the source? Do they still don’t really know and made up a story to put the media attention to rest?

  5. flyingcuttlefish says:

    I am reposting a front portion of this with link to you. Let me know if not OK and i will remove it.

    • MVB says:

      It’s too bad you chose to include “alledgedly apparent blog” to your tags, as everyone knows that helps direct traffic to your blog, away from mine, which people googling would actually be looking for. You include Zaporizhia, the accident of which I documented like no one else, too. ( https://allegedlyapparent.wordpress.com/2015/01/12/cover-up-of-zaporizhye-nuclear-accident-near-certain/ ETC.)

      https://web.archive.org/web/20160309024920/https://flyingcuttlefish.wordpress.com/2016/03/08/euro-rad/

      So clearly, while you did link to the above post (tx, that’s something… I guess… It resulted in 1 view so far), your choice of tags… casts a cloud on what your true intentions are. Sorry to say. It makes me consider you far more likely to be part of the “controlled opposition”…

      In short: “reposting a front portion of this with link to you.” is fine. Tagging your blog with the name of my blog makes it damn clear that your intentions might not all you make yourself to sound like. Adding several other topics I’ve written extensively about, without yourself actually offering anything original… Yellow flag has been raised. Take care.

      • flyingcuttlefish says:

        oh, sorry … I’ll change the tags!
        Most of my posts have other’s content so I put their name in tags so they can be found.
        I’ll clean it up.

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  8. morph says:

    the source is in the building where they measured the rise of CS-137
    (sorry in german: http://www.n-tv.de/panorama/Helsinki-loest-Raetsel-um-radioaktive-Strahlung-article17175626.html )

    Monitoring… fail….

  9. Anthony Barker says:

    Dear Michael,
    Thanks for pointing this out. I had a similar reaction to this news, but after thinking about it some I think it amounts to a zilch.
    An answer appears to lie in the ratio of Cs-137 to I-131:
    EURDEP gives a tabular form of the Nicosia observations of Cs-137 and I-131 activities. We can get a measure of the observed Cs-137/I-131 isotope ratio (the numbers ratio of nuclei) by integrating the activities on March 3rd, excluding the first datum in both cases since it appears to be a large instrumental effect. That gives an activity ratio of 5.2 counts of Cs-137 for every count of I-131. Then taking into account the half lives of these isotopes, that gives an observed Cs-137/I-131 of 7160.
    Strangely enough, U-238 has a small (5.45E-7), but influential likelihood of decaying by spontaneous fission. This process is the dominant spontaneous fission process in geology, resulting in a SF rate of 2 to 3 disintegration per minute per cubic meter of the Earth’s crust. This has been going on basically forever, so the concentrations of Cs-137 and I-131 reach an equilibrium value with a Cs-137 / I-131 isotope ratio of 3080. Within a factor of two of the observation without even considering possible differences how they different elements are transported.
    Rapid fission, like from a weapon, would give a Cs-137 / I-131 ratio of 2.24. This comes only from the ratio of fission yields of the two elements, with no time for buildup. This is over 3 orders of magnitude away from the observation, so we can exclude this possibility.
    Nuclear reactors allow some time for isotopes to build up. Certainly I-131 reaches equilibrium levels in a reactor. But a typical reactor is refueled every 4.5 to 6 years, so Cs-137 does not have time to build up to it’s equilibrium level. If a reactor that had it’s fuel in place for 4.5 to 6 years would have a Cs-137 / I-131 ratio between 300 and 400. This is still more than an order of magnitude away from the observation.
    So just from the Cs-137 to I-131 ratio we should strongly suspect that the Nicosia observations originate from fission products of geologic origin. Then we should similarly expect there would have been other radioactive isotopes found at Nicosia from radioactive decay of naturally occurring lanthanides; and indeed there are. Looking at the EURDEP data from Nicosia, the same station that reported Cs-137 and I-131 also reports Rn-220 and Rn-222. Both of which have minor spikes at the same time as the spikes in Cs-137 and I-131. Rn-220 and Rn-222 are too heavy to originate from fission, but do result from radioactive decay of natural lanthanides. So everything coming out of Nicosia is compatible with geologic fission isotopes–maybe from natural gas production or from volcanic activity–and incompatible with artificial fission like some big radioactive cloud blanketing Europe.

    Gamma spikes: If you look around the map in EURDEP, and turn back the clock some, you’ll notice that gamma spikes aren’t uncommon, and increasingly common further north. These may be from solar activity. As pointed out before, there was a solar storm on March 7th (K-index reaching 7) and a period of K-index = 5 on March 3rd. That can probably explain the gamma spikes from Turkey. If a nuclear event occurred we wouldn’t expect low-amplitude and needle-thin spikes in total gamma; we’d expect a great broad wave of gamma activity that hung around for a long time. Narrow spikes look like whips of solar plasma flicking across the globe.

    Helsinki: I emailed Finland’s STUK asking for details and they sent me this reply:
    “As you might have seen reported, there was detection of an abnormally high concentration of Cs-137 in one of the air filters from a sampler located in STUK’s premises in Helsinki. The concentration was 4000 microBq/m3 which is 1000 times higher than the ordinary concentration. The sample was collected in March 3 – 4, 2016 (24 hours). Cesium was evenly distributed in the sample and no other nuclides were detected. There was no detection of cesium in any other air sampler in Finland.
    “The reason for this detection has been traced to rooms of a company operating in the same building as STUK. The company receives radiation sources removed from use and prepares them for final disposal. Based on swipe samples, the contamination spread from these rooms to roof of the building and via ventilation system.
    “STUK is currently assessing the sources and containers that are stored and have been handled by the company last week. However, the origin of the contamination has not yet been identified yet. Thus, also the reason for the spread of the contamination is not yet identified.
    “Measurements and swipe samples from rooms near the origin of the contamination have shown that garage located next to the rooms where the contamination originated has also been contaminated. Lower levels were also detected in the corridors next to these rooms. However, the contamination levels in all of these areas are so low that they have not been to health risk to any workers that have been in the area. Laboratory and office spaces in the building have been measured and no contamination has been found in them. Nearby areas outside the building have also been measured and no contamination has been found there, either.
    “Cleanup of the contaminated hallway and garage are ongoing. The assessment and identification of the origin of the contamination is also ongoing. Once the origin has been identified, handling of the source, cleanup of these rooms, and examination of the reason for the spread of the contamination will be done.
    Best regards,
    Jukka Kupila
    Principal Advisor
    Emergency Preparedness
    STUK”

    • MVB says:

      Thanks.

      SO you’re claiming that Cs-137 and I-131 is being detected because it’s oozing out of the ground everywhere due to tiny amounts of U-238 in the Earth’s crust and its natural spontanious fissioning?

      • Anthony Barker says:

        Pretty much.
        I would amend the idea of it “oozing out of the ground everywhere” though–that’s more the behavior of gaseous decay products like radon, and implies uniform continuous release. This was clearly a sudden release. Also, Cesium and Iodine are normally solid but they are water soluble. So it would have to come from some process that releases significant volumes of water vapor or steam that was in contact with large volumes of rock, and probably coming from somewhere close to the detector. Obvious candidates are mining, especially natural gas fracking, and volcanism.

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