Hope you all had a wonderful Solstice and wishing all a most lovely ‘return of the light’ for us Northern Hemishperians. – Dec. 24, 2015 –
This blog post adds to a growing list of documentation that shows that radioactive fallout is measurably on the increase, reaching record levels in 2015 at many ground level monitors. People who claim that all is fine and normal are not paying attention.
See my Nuclear Blog Post Archive (subtab of the Nuclear tab in the top banner) for other posts on Fukushima and related issues. To check the radioactivity data yourself, see Online Radiation Monitors. Help with units, etc. can be found on the page, Radiation Units & Conversions.
To add to last fallout-related blog post (Dec. 20, 2015: ALPHA & BETA Radiation Data Graphed for Mikolajki, Poland (EURDEP, 2007-2015) + other radiation observations…), I was looking for more radioisotope-specific data from EURDEP the other day, and found that quite a number of stations that provided the very best of data have gone silent.
Like that Bismuth-214 (etc.) monitor in Lithuania (which I noticed went silent right as the Chernobyl wildfire blew smoke that direction. See May 2, 2015, “(More ADDITIONS) Bismuth-214 as a Fallout Indicator? Systematic Omissions: More Evidence of EURDEP Hiding Data when it Matters Most…“) Very unfortunately, that superb monitor has yet to come back to sharing data with the public… This sad trend seems increasingly “how it goes”…
I was graphing Uranium-234 together Bismuth-214 side-by-side (see further below), and it seemed that I had to adjust the vertical axis more for U-234 than for Bi-214 as I browsed from Sept. 2013 when the record started towards the end of that monitor’s record this past spring 2015. Since U-234 decays along a chain that includes Bi-214, I would expect the ratio not to change all that much.
The only way for such a ratio to change is when ‘fresh’ Uranium is added disproportionately. That can be due to release of volcanic ash (containing some Uranium and its decay products), or due to man-made additions of Uranium or other nuclear products that decay into Uranium-234, as well as the rest of that decay chain.
An excerpt of decay chains passing by the Bismuth-214 phase, with a couple highlighted. More details, see http://periodictable.com/Isotopes/083.214/index2.full.prod.html :
[!-> Note: Related post from Nov. 2015: Radon-220 Spikes in Croatia: highest since records began in 2009.]
So… First I picked a couple values from 2 1-month graphs (sampled at the same time) and divided the value for Bi-214 by the value for U-234 to get the ratio: how this much radioactivity from Bi-214 stands in relation to the radioactivity from U-234 in that sampled air.
I took one from the beginning of the record (5 data points in Oct. 2013): those 5 ratios of (the center column I added in red) average to 13.05 Bi214/U234
= 13 times more Bi-214 than U-234.
And 4 data points at the end of the record (in April 2015): those 4 ratios average to 9.7
= only 9.7 times more Bi-214 than U-234.
It’s just a basic impression, and comparing this little data (shown above) isn’t enough to extrapolate a pattern or anything yet, but IF that suspected decrease in Bi214:U234 ratio (by 25% in this example) isn’t random, but can be detected in the whole record (however limited it is), THEN perhaps this would be indicative that the Uranium content of outdoor air is increasing disproportially to later-stage decay daughters such as Bismuth-214. So I sampled some more (see below).
Maybe this ratio record will correlate with volcanic activity? If not, perhaps it could contribute to our understanding of just how much of the “enhanced natural” artificially-added U-234 was added to the atmopshere by Fukushima (and/or other releases from the dirty nuclear industry). I suppose that in natural uncontaminated soil/dust the amounts could fluctuate as well, but I think that their ratios would be more-the-less stable.
Here’s the GRAPHS of the entire (very short) data record Bismuth-214 (black) + Uranium-234 (blue) for this monitor (LT CUSAM 01, Lithuania), from oldest to newest; most recent data at the end:
From the end of September 2013 till the end of April 2015, with some data gaps in between:
Next thing I did was: I picked the first 3-month graph and the last complete 3-month graph, I drew squares of data points: red for high points, blue for low points, randomly. Then I pulled up the data sheets and wrote the data next to it. I wrote the ratio in the middle for the randomly sampled points (on both sides always from the exact same sampling times at the same location). Commentary below these two annotated 3-month periods with ratio calculations:
- Sept.-Dec. 2013:
- Dec. – March 2015:
As you can see over the course of those two years: the measurements for both minima and maxima increase for both U234 ánd Bi214, but U234 increases significantly more, leading to very obviously decreasing Bi/U ratios.
The Ratio (Bi-214 : U-234) of the late 2013 (light blue) low points averages to 14.6; while the ratio for the 2013 (red) high points averages to 13.9. Only going by the randomly picked high and low points, this 3-month period ratio averages to 14.25; For early 2015, the low points’ ratio average to 8.7; while the high points’ ratio average to 6.5; and both combined to 7.6.
From 14.25 to 7.6 is about an 88% change. If looking at the peak times, the difference is the most, with more than a doubling of Uranium compared to Bismuth. Seems rather significant over the course of 17 months. I don’t know what the much longer-term record would be (might need to look at some data sets that go back much further and didn’t get cut off yet), or if one were to process all data, but… -and this is why I bring it up-: my impression is that this increase in Uranium-in-outdoor-air is of man-made origin because upticks in so-called natural isotopes, such as Bi-214, lead-210, etc. rather often coincide perfectly with upticks in 100% artificial isotopes such as Cs-137. This could not be the case if the origin were volcanic.
Some examples from across Europe (some graphs have been shown in previous blog posts before – sorry for the repetition) illustrating that claim:
- “Natural” Radon-222 (marked in the decay chain above, between U-234 and Bi-214) showing upticks at the exact times of upticks of Cesium-137:
- Lead-210 (2 steps after Bi-214 in the decay chain shown above) here shown increasing in tandem with Cesium-137 just before data flow of that monitor was turned off:
- Radon 220 + 222 nicely correlated with Alpha radiation from artificial isotopes @ JRC Station 7, Northern Italy:
- A trace of Iodine-131 peaking at the same time as Lead-210 @ Hradex Kralove – Pilette, Czech Republic:
Of course, you can many examples of no correlation, but quite often the artificial upticks coincide with upticks of “natural” isotopes. And all I’m saying with that observation is that that makes the likelihood of the “natural” ones truly being of ‘natural’ origin (namely volcanic activity) pretty darn low.
In Spring 2015, the upticks and peculiar detections were at least as striking as those of late. For some impressions from then, see also these:
- May 16, 2015: Radon Spike in Italy: Highest since 2013 ; Cyprus blocks out Cs-137/I-131 data… (May 16, 2015, a snapshot of a few EURDEP monitors)
- June 6, 2015: Pink Unicorns beach themselves on the shores of Lake Dystopia
Anyways… There’s a lot more to be pointed out, but I’ll leave it at this for today… See also my Nuclear Blog Posts Archive.
As has been the case for what is now a couple months: Something’s up.
MY VIEW – I’m under the impression that the contents of Fukushima-Daiichi (F1)’s Spent Fuel Pool # 4 (SFP4) that were aerosolized at extreme heat in a runaway Zirconium fire (literally TONS of Uranium and Plutonium and various other radioisotopes) was to a significant extent dispersed to the upper atmosphere and is making its way down. In addition I suspect that criticalities (self-sustaining nuclear chain reactions) have still not come to a complete stop in the molten-down coriums of F1 Reactor Units 1, 2 & especially 3, are being vented up, giving rise to occasional tiny trace amounts of activation products and indicators of very recent fission in moving fallout zones along the slower parts of the northern jet stream. –
Disclaimer – I do not claim to know for sure. I’m simply concerned enough to spent voluntary time researching this. I believe solutions can be found to any challenge, but an absolute priority is the lifting of the surrounding secrecy, increasing budgets for various related scientific research and ending the apparent news media gag order. The quality of life, particularly long-term, for many species, including humanity, is at stake. –
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