I received an email today that included the line, “PS I read a tweet saying I 131 detected in Holland on 8/26, but it was just a tweet. I didn’t time to look further.” So, since I have a few hours tonite… Let’s see if I can find anything unusual. (Short version: I did not find evidence for that allegation, but that doesn’t mean anything.)
I turn on my blog, to check some Online Radiation Monitors, a sub-tab in the nuclear tab in the top banner. By dorky habit, I check my blog stats first and notice a little uptick in trafic from EU servers: 6 views, when the average has been about 1/day. Yesterday 3, as well… Hm… I haven’t even been posting anything lately.
So, I turn on the European Commission’s ‘EURDEP’ public (mostly “unvalidated data”) radiation data map (“Advanced Map”) and for today, still the end of August 31, 2015 here in the Colorado Rockies… (already Sept.1 in Europe)… the default always just shows the last 24 hours. Extremely unusual to see that Germany has a data delay. I check for the past 48 hours. Same:
Sept. 1, 2015 – Germany (Or the IAEA-programmed data processor…) has imposed a delay in data release, for at least 48 hours…
Directly at the official German site, all looks normal, albeit delayed over 24 hrs, with the latest data from August 30th:
Click for Latest. odlinfo.bfs.de
When checking various individual monitors, however, they showed August 31 already as well. That monitor where a piece of Germany sticks into The Netherlands (just to pick a random one) shows what’s seen on many: minor spikes corresponding with precipitation. (The warning at the top is the same as at EURDEP: the data has not been validated yet.):
From the bit I checked, nothing particularly stood out. IF (big if) something were going on, where-oh-where would it be? Bit of spikes with rain, but that’s fairly normal unless they go much higher than that green alert level line.
A quick comparisson between the old map formats, with data from March 18, 2011 (when the bulk of Fukushima fallout had not yet reached Europe, or the data was redacted to make it look like all was normal) and August 30, 2015 does give the impression of some minor ground monitor upticks, especially in the center and south-west of Germany:
That makes me want to look at monitors right across the border, in Luxembourg and France, and check to see if any of the maroon dots aren’t the casual calibration spikes, but something that could hint at a leak somewhere… So, back to EURDEP, here showing 1 week data (maximum gamma). At first sight, things look pretty normal:
The two marroon dots in Lithuania, with typical brief upticks to around 560 nSv/hr are obvious callibrations. Same for the monitor near Tihange, Belgium: an obvious callibration uptick (to near 560 nSv/hr).
But the one in Luxembourg suggests something’s up. Somewhere. Not necessarily in Europe. In the past I’ve traced upticks to radioactive leaks coming from the Ukraine’s troubled Zaporizhia NPP (officially cover-up) and from Japan’s ongoing Fukushima-Daiichi catastrophe (many times; an interesting one perhaps is the major uptick over Germany in mid-November 2014), but I’m finding myself reminded of tonite… it takes ridiculous time to figure out the most likely origin of a radioactive cloud. The reason I can’t dismiss this “glitch dot” in Luxembourg as a callibration is that it 1) went all the way to 15,000 nSv/hr (15 µSv/hr !), and more importantly: 2) that uptick corresponds with less pronounced upticks elsewhere in the region within a 48 hour period:
Looking at a fairly random sampling leaves me wondering if a radioactive cloud entered the European scene from elsewhere… North America? Fukushima again?
Near Luxembourg in Germany, data outage starts early August 27:
Further South, it starts later, mid-27th:
An uptick in Northern Ireland on August 23. Could be a normal natural rainout event, but I’m not sure:
Part of what has me wondering is that around the same time data gaps begin elsewhere. Before the German data gaps by several days, an example from near Oslo, Norway:
Southern tip of that long island in the Baltic Sea off Sweden:
Baltic Coast in Latvia:
But also all the way in Italy, on the sensitive monitors of Ispra, there’s a couple blips, and a few examples of data being forced to zero around the same time: Was the massive uptick of +28 µSv/hr in pristine Southern Greenland, which was not an isolated glitch dot, but part of a 12-hour uptick, a error, an instrumental glitch? Or does it hint of a radioactive cloud touching down to hit a ground monitor?
A look at Nullschool wind data showed a minor jet stream slow-down over Southern Greenland, with the wind layers below it very slow. That jet stream meandered around a bit, and IF the origin were Fukushima, there are several dispersion possibilities along the way, making it not possible for me to figure this out without spending a massive amount of additional time…
I guess I won’t be figuring out this latest spate of data gaps and upticks… I also did some searches for “Jodium Nederland”, etc., but found nothing relevant.
I checked for I-131 on EURDEP, but there’s nothing unusual to be seen on the very limited number of monitors. There are none available in The Netherlands, Belgium, Germany, Denmark or UK, and the ones a bit further from Finland to Cyprus show super low levels. Cyprus rarely gets quieter than this:
On the independent networks there’s little to see either. The Nuclear Emergency Tracking Center (http://www.netc.com/) has 1 monitor in Germany, which shows nothing unusual. Unfortunately, it’s more detailed data of the past week is available to members-only:
Nothing stands out on Radmon (http://radmon.org/) either at first sight:
Bismuth-214? I’ve brought Bi-214 up in a couple past posts as a possible indicator or fallout, eventhough it is also an abundant naturally occuring one. The Bi-214 map of Europe (max values) this past week only shows the German monitors. Monitors for Bi-214 in Poland and Lithuania are apparently not streaming data. The one in Poland showed nothing particularly unusual either. Here’s the past week with Germany’s Bi-214 data points:
Unfortunately I was unable to graph individual monitors, as at this point EURDEP began giving me ERROR messages… ;-/ and Nullschool suddenly switched to ‘Server Down‘, and it was nearing midnight, so I’m leaving this for what it was.
I don’t have a conclusion, just more confirmation that the radiation monitoring systems are rigged to hide nuclear hazards.
But, it’s worth looking into further, as on or around 8/26, there surely are a lot of data gaps or odd spikes. So perhaps there’s some truth to that tweet (?)… If someone were to investigate it further or know of reports relevant to this, please do drop a link in comments.
For perhaps more interesting posts, check my Nuclear Blog Poss Archive. For the latest news, check options in Nuclear News Links.
Beautiful morning here in southern Colorado on this first day of September…
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