DISCLAIMER – United Soviet States of Amnesia – August 19, 2018
“Briefly stated, the Gell-Mann Amnesia effect is as follows. You open the newspaper to an article on some subject you know well. In Murray’s case, physics. In mine, show business. You read the article and see the journalist has absolutely no understanding of either the facts or the issues. Often, the article is so wrong it actually presents the story backward—reversing cause and effect. I call these the “wet streets cause rain” stories. Paper’s full of them.
In any case, you read with exasperation or amusement the multiple errors in a story, and then turn the page to national or international affairs, and read as if the rest of the newspaper was somehow more accurate about Palestine than the baloney you just read. You turn the page, and forget what you know.
That is the Gell-Mann Amnesia effect. I’d point out it does not operate in other arenas of life. In ordinary life, if somebody consistently exaggerates or lies to you, you soon discount everything they say. In court, there is the legal doctrine of falsus in uno, falsus in omnibus, which means untruthful in one part, untruthful in all. But when it comes to the media, we believe against evidence that it is probably worth our time to read other parts of the paper. When, in fact, it almost certainly isn’t. The only possible explanation for our behavior is amnesia.”
― Michael Crichton
Sisters of Mercy – Dominion:
Mother Russia… Rain down down down…”
Another round of applause for the massive cover-up pulled off by the nuclear establishment. Impressive. Early April, did I guess that right ? Major fallout hitting all over by May somewhere?
Come on, humor us. We’ve already been dosed multiple times in the past few years anyhow.
Data from a tiny Portuguese island off the Atlantic coast off equatorial central Africa: suggest the fallout wave likely began in mid-May at the latest, though it is more likely to already have been a quite-diluted surface wave by the time it reached this region after a couple rotations around the planet:
The Honolullu, Hawaii data gaps and its preceding mini-spike more strongly suggest late April 2018:
But that’s in the middle of the Pacific, where air layers aren’t exactly mixing much to reach ground monitors… The example of a “staircase to hell” @ Riverside, CA hints a bit more of the first round reaching ground monitors in the second week of April 2018:
This matches with the onset of detections of signs of very apparent nuclear fallout from a recent-fission source, which began to be detected over far-Northern Europe after April 16:
Onset of the wave of Cobalt-60 detections, & Ru-103, @ Kotka, Southern Finland:
By late May the contents of this hemisphere-, perhaps planetary-wide, fallout cloud has been established to have contained: Cs-134, I-131, Co-60, Mn-54, Ru-103, Fe-59, Nb-95, Sc-46, Ce-141, Zr-95, Ac-225, Ac-227, Tl-207, Po-211, …(with some of the more common ones, like Cs-137, Na-22, Be-7, Pb-210 as well) – See (Aug. 12, 2018) MORE RadioIsotope-Specific Data from Finland (Spring 2018 Fallout Event, etc.)…
On June 10, 2018, EURDEP shut off the data flow to its Advanced Map, without which further data sleuthing is practically impossible.
If you watch closely, you’ll spot mini-data gaps and fine spikes around June 10th on many American monitors, possibly due to a fast-traveling wave of radioactive noble gasses, such as Xenons and Argons (or so I fathom… just to entertain you…):
EURDEP-AdvancedMap remains dead. This is [non-validated] US EPA Radnet data:
Couple from out WEST (in no particular order):
Few from further EAST:
My armchair conclusion: For a fallout cloud to affect gamma monitors across the entire Northern Hemisphere, even all the way to the coast of equatorial Africa, triggering data-scrutinizing-algorithms to switch data display to data-gap-mode all over the map, and have enough concentration left after likely traveling vast distances… to leave very rare artificial isotopes detectable during routine air sampling in Finland weeks on end, …suggest something “rather big”.
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- Among the possibilities, and one for which I do admit some personal “confirmation bias”, is that Fukushima-Daiichi in Japan is still fissioning and that it had a flare-up with massive releases. It certainly should not be ruled out just because the 2020 Olympics aren’t behind us yet… For your consideration:
- (Nov. 20, 2015) Debunking the ‘Impossibility’ of Ongoing Criticalities at Fukushima-Daiichi
- (Jan. 26, 2016) Any Significance to Cobalt-60 in Fukushima Fallout?
- (Lots more in my “Nuclear Blogpost Archive“)